
META AMM, Super Intelligence, Hyperion/Prometheus/Titan, TikTok, Model Update
We produce META previews each quarter. Last quarter, we successfully backed a contrarian thesis and identified META's significant beat opportunity in 1Q25.
This quarter, we remain excited and have strengthened our confidence in META's revenue growth for both the current quarter and second half after investing additional research resources. While CAPEX investments may lead to gross margin decline next year, considering AI is the most important growth theme for the next decade, we believe the market will be more forgiving of margin pressure than during META's large-scale Reality Lab investments, especially with more revenue upside potential.
We recently spoke with 15 experts and have updates on several key topics:
Overall ad revenue trends for 2Q25 and 2025 expectations
Tariff impact
TEMU/SHEIN impact
Major product developments
Recommendation algorithm progress
META AMM status
META AI progress
CAPEX updates
TikTok growth trends
In this Part 2 report, we primarily discuss points 6-9.
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