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DOGE Impact

FUNDA·March 6, 2025

US gov AWS spend seen -3% to -5% in 2025; defense +8% to +12% offsets social -12% to -15%, net flat.

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We recently spoke with an AWS channel specialist who has gathered some insights into certain aspects of DOGE. This information could offer valuable guidance for software investments in the near term.

DOGE’s Overall Impact on AWS

  • Tailwind:

    • There is an indication that Elon Must wants to shift from a data center (DC) approach to cloud-based solutions.

    • Specifically, the Department of Defense/JEDI segment—which accounts for approximately 35% of the total—may see an increase in spending.

  • Headwinds:

    • Public service departments, making up about 65% of the total, appear to be affected only minimally.
  • Contract Renegotiation:

    • Certain government projects are currently renegotiating their contracts with AWS, aiming to optimize costs and align with new spending expectations.
  • Net Impact:

    • Overall, the net impact of these changes is expected to remain relatively unchanged.

Government Spending on AWS

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