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AWS 4Q25: Anthropic Brings Incremental Growth for 2026

FUNDA·February 4, 2026

Anthropic demand + higher H100 prices and 7GW builds set AWS up for faster 2026 growth despite Rainier slippage.

Project Rainier Progress

In our January interview, data center expert A indicated smooth progress

  • For Indiana’s Project Rainier, by Q4 2025, power load estimated at 1.0-1.1 GW with chip count reaching the 1 million target

However, in our early February follow-up, the expert noted

  • 2-3 month delays are now common for data center projects, with most experiencing some delay

  • A 300-500MW delay is reasonable, though other regions may compensate with additional capacity

Data center expert B confirmed Indiana project won’t achieve 1GW delivery capability by end-2025

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